shepherd of people have needs know the calendar of tempest in state which be  common great when thing grow to equality as natural tempest be great about the  equinoctia and as there be certain hollow blast of wind and secret swell of  sea before a tempest so be there in state that now too blind person image  commotion often coin a deity et secret tunescere pretty libel and licentious  discourse against the state when they be frequent and open and in like sort  false news often run up and down to the disadvantage of the state and hasty  embrace be among the sign of trouble Virgil give the pedigree of fame say she  be sister to the giant Illam land parent irra enrages a god Extremam ut  to bring forward a Titan Enceladoque sister to beget as if fame be the relic  of sedition pass but they be no less indeed the prelude of sedition to come  howsoever he note it right that seditious tumult and seditious fame differ no  more but as brother and sister masculine and feminine especial if it come to  that that the best action of a state and the most plausible and which ought to  give great contentment be take in ill sense and traduce for that show the envy  great as Tacitus say a metal great hate seu be seu male movement of the limbs  to press neither do it follow that because these fame be a sign of trouble  that the suppress of they with too much severity shall be a remedy of trouble  for the despise of they many time check they best and the go about to stop  they do but make a wonder long live also that kind of obedience which Tacitus  speak of be to be hold suspect to be in duty say yet who hammer order  to command to explain how funeral procession  dispute excuse cavil upon  mandate and direction be a kind of shake off the yoke and assay of  disobedience especial if in those dispute they which be for the direction  speak fearful and tender and those that be against it audacious also as  Machiavelli note well when prince that ought to be common parent make  themselves as a party and lean to a side it be as a boat that be overthrow by  uneven weight on the one side as be well see in the time of Henry the three of  France for first himself enter league for the extirpation of the protestant  and present after the same league be turn upon himself for when the authority  of prince be make but a accessary to a cause and that there be other band that  tie fast than the band of sovereignty king begin to be put almost out of  possession also when discord and quarrel and faction be carry open and  audacious it be a sign the reverence of government be lose for the motion of  the great person in a government ought to be as the motion of the planet under  at first mobile accord to the old opinion which be that every of they be carry  swift by the high motion and soft in their own motion and therefore when great  one in their own particular motion move violent and as Tacitus express it well  liberius how ut to command I remember it be a sign the orb be out of frame for  reverence be that wherewith prince be gird from God who threaten the dissolve  thereof to loosen cingula king so when any of the four pillar of government be  main shake or weaken which be religion justice counsel and treasure man have  needs to pray for fair weather but let we pass from this part of prediction  concern which nevertheless more light may be take from that which follow and  let we speak first of the material of sedition then of the motive of they and  three of the remedy concern the material of sedition it be a thing well to be  consider for the sure way to prevent sedition if the time do bear it be to  take away the matter of they for if there be fuel prepare it be hard to tell  whence the spark shall come that shall set it on fire the matter of sedition  be of two kind much poverty and much discontentment it be certain so many  overthrow estate so many vote for trouble Lucan note well the state of Rome  before the civil war from here interest  vorax tearing away in tempore  interest  from here action of striking together fides et many men  utile  bellum this same many men  utile bellum be a assure and infallible sign of a  state dispose to sedition and trouble and if this poverty and break estate in  the better sort be join with a want and necessity in the mean people the  danger be imminent and great for the rebellion of the belly be the worst as  for discontentment they be in the politic body like to humour in the natural  which be apt to gather a preternatural heat and to inflame and let no prince  measure the danger of they by this whether they be just or unjust for that be  to imagine people to be too reasonable who do often spurn at their own good  nor yet by this whether the grief whereupon they rise be in fact great or  small for they be the most dangerous discontentment where the fear be great  than the feel to feel pain modus to fear non item beside in great oppression  the same thing that provoke the patience do withal mate the courage but in  fear it be not so neither let any prince or state be secure concern  discontentment because they have be often or have be long and yet no peril  have ensue for as it be true that every vapour or fume do not turn into a  storm so it be nevertheless true that storm though they blow over diverse time  yet may fall at last and as the Spanish proverb note well the cord break at  the last by the weak pull the cause and motive of sedition be innovation in  religion tax alteration of law and custom break of privilege general  oppression advancement of unworthy person stranger dearth disband soldier  faction grow desperate and what soever in offend people join and knit they in  a common cause for the remedy there may be some general preservative whereof  we will speak as for the just cure it must answer to the particular disease  and so be leave to counsel rather than rule the first remedy or prevention be  to remove by all mean possible that material cause of sedition whereof we  speak which be want and poverty in the estate to which purpose serve the open  and well balance of trade the cherish of manufacture the banish of idleness  the repress of waste and excess by sumptuary law the improvement and husband  of the soil the regulate of prince of thing vendible the moderate of tax and  tribute and the like general it be to be foresee that the population of a  kingdom especial if it be not mow down by war do not exceed the stock of the  kingdom which shall maintain they neither be the population to be reckon only  by number for a small number that spend more and earn less do wear out a  estate soon than a great number that live low and gather more therefore the  multiply of nobility and other degree of quality in a over proportion to the  common people do speedy bring a state to necessity and so do likewise a  overgrow clergy for they bring nothing to the stock and in like manner when  more be breed scholar than preferment can take off it be likewise to be  remember that forasmuch as the increase of any estate must be upon the  foreigner for whatsoever be somewhere get be somewhere lose there be but three  thing which one nation sell unto another the commodity as nature yield it the  manufacture and the vecture or carriage so that if these three wheel go wealth  will flow as in a spring tide and it come many time to pass that means  to go over opus that the work and carriage be more worth than the material and  enrich a state more as be notable see in the Low-Countrymen who have the best  i above ground in the world above all thing good policy be to be use that the  treasure and money in a state be not gather into few hand for otherwise a  state may have a great stock and yet starve and money be like muck not good  except it be spread this be do chief by suppress or at least keep a strait  hand upon the devour trade of usury engross great pasturage and the like for  remove discontentment or at least the danger of they there be in every state  as we know two portion of subject the noblesse and the commonalty when one of  these be discontent the danger be not great for common people be of slow  motion if they be not excite by the great sort and the great sort be of small  strength except the multitude be apt and ready to move of themselves then be  the danger when the great sort do but wait for the trouble of the water among  the mean that then they may declare themselves the poet feign that the rest of  the God will have bind Jupiter which he hear of by the counsel of Pallas send  for Briareus with his hundred hand to come in to his aid a emblem no doubt to  show how safe it be for monarch to make sure of the good will of common people  to give moderate liberty for grief and discontentment to evaporate so it be  without too great insolency or bravery be a safe way for he that turn the  humour back and make the wound bleed inward endanger malign ulcer and  pernicious imposthumations the part of Epimetheus may well become prometheus  in the case of discontentment for there be not a better provision against they  Epimetheus when grief and evil fly abroad at last shut the lid and keep hope  in the bottom of the vessel certain the politic and artificial nourish and  entertain of hope and carry man from hope to hope be one of the best antidote  against the poison of discontentment and it be a certain sign of a wise  government and proceed when it can hold man heart by hope when it can by  satisfaction and when it can handle thing in such manner as no evil shall  appear so peremptory but that it have some outlet of hope which be the less  hard to do because both particular person and faction be apt enough to flatter  themselves or at least to brave that which they believe not also the foresight  and prevention that there be no likely or fit head whereunto discontent person  may resort and under who they may join be a know but a excellent point of  caution I understand a fit head to be one that have greatness and reputation  that have confidence with the discontent party and upon who they turn their  eye and that be think discontent in his own particular which kind of person be  either to be win and reconcile to the state and that in a fast and true manner  or to be front with some other of the same party that may oppose they and so  divide the reputation general the divide and break of all faction and  combination that be adverse to the state and set they at distance or at least  distrust among themselves be not one of the worst remedy for it be a desperate  case if those that hold with the proceed of the state be full of discord and  faction and those that be against it be entire and unite I have note that some  witty and sharp speech which have fall from prince have give fire to sedition  Caesar do himself infinite hurt in that speech Sulla not to know litter non  to be able to dictate for it do utter cut off that hope which man have  entertain that he will at one time or other give over his dictatorship Galba  undo himself by that speech law a see soldier non to buy for it put the  soldier out of hope of the donative Probus likewise by that speech si to live  non opus to be greater number  Romano command soldier a speech of great  despair for the soldier and many the like sure prince have needs in tender  matter and ticklish time to beware what they say especial in these short  speech which fly abroad like dart and be think to be shoot out of their secret  intention for as for large discourse they be flat thing and not so much note  last let prince against all event not be without some great person one or  rather more of military valour near unto they for the repress of sedition in  their beginning for without that there use to be more trepidation in court  upon the first break out of trouble than be fit and the state run the danger  of that which Tacitus say and be habitus the rational soul to be ut pessimum  deed to venture little more Vellaean Law all to stand open but let such  military person be assure and well repute of rather than factious and popular  hold also good correspondence with the other great man in the state or else  the remedy be worse than the disease